Probability underlies much of the modern world – an engineering professor explains how it actually works

Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...
The Washington Post

When should we trust polls from non-probability samples?

After my post the other day on tracking public opinion with biased polls, someone pointed me to this 2011 article by David Yeager, Jon Krosnick, LinChiat Chang, Harold Javitz, Matthew Levendusky, ...
Pew Research Center

1. Assessing the accuracy of estimates for U.S. adults

Probability-based panel: This refers to a national survey panel recruited using random sampling from a database that includes most people in the population. Today, most such panels in the United ...
JSTOR Daily

Substance Use Estimates From RDD and Area Probability Samples: Impact of Differential Screening Methods and Unit Nonresponse

Survey mode effects linked to unit nonresponse and screening procedures were estimated in a study of self-reported tobacco, alcohol, and illicit drug use. Two samples of the same population were drawn ...
JSTOR Daily

Probability Content of Regions Under Spherical Normal Distributions, II: The Distribution of the Range in Normal Samples

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract Numerous investigations, both theoretical and numerical, have been made of the distribution of the range in normal samples. One of the first ...
Pew Research Center

2. Assessing the accuracy of estimates among demographic subgroups

Probability-based panel: This refers to a national survey panel recruited using random sampling from a database that includes most people in the population. Today, most such panels in the United ...
CBS

Correcting selection bias in nonprobability samples by pseudo-weighting

Statistics are often estimated from a sample rather than from the entire population. If the inclusion probability of the sample is unknown to the researcher, that is, a nonprobability sample, naively ...
The Conversation

The Margin of Error Explained

University of Melbourne provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation AU. There are two things that affect the margin of error (MOE). They are the poll ...